Fed raises rates for the first time since 2023
On 16 September 2026 the Federal Open Market Committee raised the target range for the federal funds rate by a quarter point to 3.75–4.00 per cent, by a 12–0 vote. It is the first increase since July 2023 and reverses the cut of December 2025, ending the easing cycle that had run since September 2024. The statement cites inflation that remains elevated, with oil above $100 a barrel on the Middle East conflict, alongside solid growth and a stable labour market; the median projection puts the rate at 4.1 per cent at the end of both 2026 and 2027, so most participants expect at least one further step this year. For long-term investors the rules have not changed, but the regime has: cash and money-market yields rise again, while prices of existing bonds fall.
What this means for you
Compare the yield on parked cash against money-market funds and short Treasuries again, and keep the regular index-fund contributions unchanged; a rate turn is not a reason to time the market.
Sources: Federal Reserve – FOMC statement, 16 September 2026 · Federal Reserve – FOMC projections materials, 16 September 2026